Scottish independence 'more difficult' than Brexit claims Blackett
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Scotland’s First Minister and her ruling SNP Government have continued to campaign for Scottish independence, insisting they could look to hold a second referendum on the issue as early as this year should her party achieve a majority in the election. Prime Minister Mr Johnson has repeatedly knocked back Scottish independence demands from the SNP, warning the result from the referendum in 2014 must continue to be honoured. But the SNP, which currently holds a minority Government, head into the crunch election on May 6 heavy favourites to once again come out victorious and possibly even achieve a majority.
During the last Scottish election in 2016, the SNP won 64 of the 129 seats on offer in the Holyrood parliament – slightly less than the 50 percent required to achieve an overall majority.
But earlier this month, polling guru Sir John Curtice has warned support for the SNP heading into the crunch Scottish election on May 6 “is looking very good”.
He explained that based on recent polls he had seen, Scotland’s ruling party were running at around 53 percent in the constituency vote, and around 45 percent on the regional vote, with none of their closest rivals within touching distance.
The Professor of Politics at the University of Strathclyde told Express.co.uk: “Support for the SNP ahead of the Scottish elections is looking very good.
“They are running at around 53 percent in the constituency vote, and around 45 percent on the regional vote.
“They are well ahead and none of their opponents are significantly above 20 percent.
“If you take the average of the recent polls and make reasonable assumptions, you’re talking about around 70 seats with a majority of 11 in a 129-seat parliament.
“If that happens, then there is a nightmare scenario for the UK Government.
“That would be an SNP overall majority at Holyrood that replicates the overall majority in 2011.
“Back then, it was good enough to force a referendum and if anything like that happens again, we will have a constitutional stand-off.”
Last week, Mr Johnson suffered a major blow after the head of his so-called Union unit, which is looking to prevent Scottish independence, quit just two weeks into his new job.
Oliver Lewis, who previously worked on the Brexit campaign, resigned having replaced former Scottish Conservative MP Luke Graham at the start of the month.
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Ms Sturgeon was quick to take a swipe at the Prime Minister, suggesting Mr Lewis had quit after “realising how threadbare the case” was for the Union.
She tweeted: “Disunity in the Union unit.
“Or maybe just despair at realising how threadbare the case for it is.”
The SNP’s Westminster deputy leader Kirsten Oswald also said: “As support for independence grows, the Tories are losing advisers like rats on a sinking ship.
“People in Scotland have a right to determine their own future in a post-pandemic referendum. Boris Johnson knows he cannot deny democracy any more than Donald Trump.=
“The issue at the election in May will be this: who has the right to decide what sort of country we should be after the pandemic – the people of Scotland or Boris Johnson?
“The only way to ensure Scotland’s future is in Scotland’s hands not Boris Johnson’s is with both votes SNP.”
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