SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Stock futures plummeted on Monday as investors were rattled by weekend data from China that showed its fastest ever contraction in factory activity, raising fears of a global recession from the coronavirus.
Pandemic fears pushed markets off a precipice last week, wiping more than $5 trillion from global share market value as stocks suffered their steepest slump in more than a decade.
The sheer scale of losses has prompted financial markets to price in policy responses from the U.S. Federal Reserve to the Bank of Japan and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
Futures now imply a full 50 basis point cut by the Fed in March <0#FF:> while Australian markets are pricing in a quarter-point cut at the RBA’s Tuesday meeting.
In equities, e-minis for the S&P500 ESc1 declined more than 1% in early Asian trading while futures for Japan’s Nikkei NKc1 imply a 2% drop.
Australia and New Zealand shares were down 2.2% and 3.2%, respectively, in early trade.
The implied yield on U.S. 10-Year Treasury futures traded below 1% for the first time.
“The outsized sell-off in risk assets and bid for safe havens last week implies that markets are anticipating further acceleration (of the virus’ spread),” Barclays analysts said in a note.
Investor panic last week sent bonds soaring and stocks plunging. The S&P 500 index .SPX fell 11.5%, only its fifth double-digit weekly drop since 1940.
Yields on U.S. government bonds, which fall when prices rise, hit a record low 1.1160%.
Oil prices dropped to their lowest in more than a year and even gold plunged as holders liquidated what they could to cover margin calls on riskier investments.
In currencies, investors sought shelter in the Japanese yen, which jumped to a 20-week high on the dollar in tandem with a massive shift in money markets, which now expect imminent rate cuts in the United States.
All of this leaves just about every major asset class on edge and few analysts sounding optimistic.
“So it was right not to ‘buy the dip,’” said Michael Every, Rabobank’s senior strategist for the Asia-Pacific.
The yen was last up 0.4% at 107.66.
The Aussie AUD=D3 and its New Zealand cousin NZD=D3 huddled near 11-year lows at $0.65 and $0.6224, respectively. The euro EUR=D3 was up 0.3% at $1.1062.
That left the dollar index =USD off 0.2% at 97.911.
China’s Caixin Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), due at 0145 GMT, and PMI figures from around the world due later on Monday will add more detail to the picture of economic pain.
Later in the week, central bank meetings in Australia, on Tuesday, and Canada, on Wednesday, will be closely watched.
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